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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Alaska Governor
In the 2022 Alaska Governor race, Mike Dunleavy (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+26.1
Final polls said
R+26.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dittman Research | R+26.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research | R+18.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dittman Research2022-10-230
Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research2022-09-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Alaska Governor race?
Mike Dunleavy (R) won, by about 26.1 points (R+26.1).
When was the 2022 Alaska Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.