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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Connecticut Governor
In the 2022 Connecticut Governor race, Edward Lamont (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.8
Final polls said
D+16.1
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+15.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | D+10.7 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Western New England University Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+18.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+6.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis | D+31.0 | 18.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis2022-10-2520
McLaughlin & Associates2022-10-235
Quinnipiac University2022-10-214
Emerson College2022-10-201
SurveyUSA2022-10-177
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Connecticut Governor race?
Edward Lamont (D) won, by about 12.8 points (D+12.8).
When was the 2022 Connecticut Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.