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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Georgia Governor
In the 2022 Georgia Governor race, Brian Kemp (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+7.5
25 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | R+8.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research Co. | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Echelon Insights | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | R+6.8 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Landmark Communications | R+6.6 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Trafalgar Group | R+8.9 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Data for Progress | R+9.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Amber Integrated | R+9.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marist College | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 13 | Wick | R+9.1 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Emerson College | R+5.6 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rasmussen Reports | R+10.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 16 | InsiderAdvantage | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 17 | Seven Letter Insight | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 18 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 19 | Civiqs | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 20 | Patinkin Research Strategies | R+2.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 21 | Center Street PAC | R+2.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 22 | Targoz Market Research | R+14.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 23 | Remington Research Group | R+14.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 24 | Quinnipiac University | R+1.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 96% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 93% | 0.006 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
41 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-11-063
Landmark Communications2022-11-061
Trafalgar Group2022-11-051
Research Co.2022-11-051
Data for Progress2022-11-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Georgia Governor race?
Brian Kemp (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).
When was the 2022 Georgia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.