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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Georgia Governor
In the 2022 Georgia Governor race, Brian Kemp (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+7.5
25 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | R+8.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research Co. | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Echelon Insights | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | R+6.8 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Landmark Communications | R+6.6 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Trafalgar Group | R+8.9 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Data for Progress | R+9.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | Amber Integrated | R+9.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marist College | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 13 | Wick | R+9.1 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Emerson College | R+5.6 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rasmussen Reports | R+10.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 16 | InsiderAdvantage | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 17 | Seven Letter Insight | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 18 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 19 | Civiqs | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 20 | Patinkin Research Strategies | R+2.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 21 | Center Street PAC | R+2.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 22 | Targoz Market Research | R+14.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 23 | Remington Research Group | R+14.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 24 | Quinnipiac University | R+1.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 93% | 0.006 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
41 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-11-063
Landmark Communications2022-11-061
Trafalgar Group2022-11-051
Research Co.2022-11-051
Data for Progress2022-11-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Georgia Governor race?
Brian Kemp (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).
When was the 2022 Georgia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.