VotePredictor
all past elections
Toss-up · 2022 Governor

Georgia Governor

In the 2022 Georgia Governor race, Brian Kemp (R) won by about 8 points.

Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+7.5
25 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1East Carolina University Center for Survey ResearchR+8.00.5
2Research Co.R+7.00.5
3Echelon InsightsR+7.00.5
4SurveyUSAR+7.00.5
5University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsR+6.80.7
6Landmark CommunicationsR+6.60.9
7Trafalgar GroupR+8.91.4
8Data for ProgressR+9.01.5
9Amber IntegratedR+9.01.5
10Marist CollegeR+6.01.5
11Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchR+6.01.5
12YouGovR+6.01.5
13WickR+9.11.6
14Emerson CollegeR+5.61.9
15Rasmussen ReportsR+10.02.5
16InsiderAdvantageR+5.02.5
17Seven Letter InsightR+5.02.5
18The New York Times/Siena CollegeR+5.02.5
19CiviqsR+5.02.5
20Patinkin Research StrategiesR+2.05.5
21Center Street PACR+2.05.5
22Targoz Market ResearchR+14.06.5
23Remington Research GroupR+14.06.5
24Quinnipiac UniversityR+1.06.5

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#ForecasterWin probBrierCalled
1VotePredictor ElectionsRep 100%0.000
2FiveThirtyEightRep 93%0.006

The polls behind it

41 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-11-063
Landmark Communications2022-11-061
Trafalgar Group2022-11-051
Research Co.2022-11-051
Data for Progress2022-11-041

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2022 Georgia Governor race?

Brian Kemp (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).

When was the 2022 Georgia Governor election held?

It was held in November 2022.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

Take the 2-minute quiz

Other races to watch

Read next