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Toss-up · 2022 Governor

Georgia Governor

In the 2022 Georgia Governor race, Brian Kemp (R) won by about 8 points.

Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+7.5
25 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1East Carolina University Center for Survey ResearchR+8.00.5✓
2Research Co.R+7.00.5✓
3Echelon InsightsR+7.00.5✓
4SurveyUSAR+7.00.5✓
5University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsR+6.80.7✓
6Landmark CommunicationsR+6.60.9✓
7Trafalgar GroupR+8.91.4✓
8Data for ProgressR+9.01.5✓
9Amber IntegratedR+9.01.5✓
10Marist CollegeR+6.01.5✓
11Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchR+6.01.5✓
12YouGovR+6.01.5✓
13WickR+9.11.6✓
14Emerson CollegeR+5.61.9✓
15Rasmussen ReportsR+10.02.5✓
16InsiderAdvantageR+5.02.5✓
17Seven Letter InsightR+5.02.5✓
18The New York Times/Siena CollegeR+5.02.5✓
19CiviqsR+5.02.5✓
20Patinkin Research StrategiesR+2.05.5✓
21Center Street PACR+2.05.5✓
22Targoz Market ResearchR+14.06.5✓
23Remington Research GroupR+14.06.5✓
24Quinnipiac UniversityR+1.06.5✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#ForecasterWin probBrierCalled
1VotePredictor ElectionsRep 96%0.001✓
2FiveThirtyEightRep 93%0.006✓

The polls behind it

41 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-11-063
Landmark Communications2022-11-061
Trafalgar Group2022-11-051
Research Co.2022-11-051
Data for Progress2022-11-041

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2022 Georgia Governor race?

Brian Kemp (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).

When was the 2022 Georgia Governor election held?

It was held in November 2022.

Which party matches you?

Take the 2-minute quiz

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