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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2022 Illinois Governor race, J.B. Pritzker (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+13.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+15.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | D+9.3 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Civiqs | D+17.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+8.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Victory Research | D+7.6 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Research Co. | D+20.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Repass | D+22.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Osage Research | D+2.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2022-11-065
Research Co.2022-11-057
Civiqs2022-10-244
Emerson College2022-10-223
Osage Research2022-10-1411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Illinois Governor race?
J.B. Pritzker (D) won, by about 12.5 points (D+12.5).
When was the 2022 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.