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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2022 Illinois Governor race, J.B. Pritzker (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.5
Final polls said
D+13.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+15.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | D+9.3 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Civiqs | D+17.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+8.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Victory Research | D+7.6 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Research Co. | D+20.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Repass | D+22.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Osage Research | D+2.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2022-11-065
Research Co.2022-11-057
Civiqs2022-10-244
Emerson College2022-10-223
Osage Research2022-10-1411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Illinois Governor race?
J.B. Pritzker (D) won, by about 12.5 points (D+12.5).
When was the 2022 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.