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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Massachusetts Governor
In the 2022 Massachusetts Governor race, Maura Healey (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+29.1
Final polls said
D+26.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MassINC Polling Group | D+30.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+28.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | D+27.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Suffolk University | D+23.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2022-10-231
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion2022-10-222
Suffolk University2022-10-156
MassINC Polling Group2022-10-091
Suffolk University2022-09-124
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Massachusetts Governor race?
Maura Healey (D) won, by about 29.1 points (D+29.1).
When was the 2022 Massachusetts Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.