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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2022 Maryland Governor race, Wes Moore (D) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
D+32.4
Final polls said
D+31.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement | D+32.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | OpinionWorks | D+31.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics | D+22.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OpinionWorks2022-10-221
The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement2022-09-240
Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics2022-09-1010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Maryland Governor race?
Wes Moore (D) won, by about 32.4 points (D+32.4).
When was the 2022 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.