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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2022 Maryland Governor race, Wes Moore (D) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
D+32.4
Final polls said
D+31.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement | D+32.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | OpinionWorks | D+31.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics | D+22.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
OpinionWorks2022-10-221
The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement2022-09-240
Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics2022-09-1010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Maryland Governor race?
Wes Moore (D) won, by about 32.4 points (D+32.4).
When was the 2022 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.