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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Maine Governor
In the 2022 Maine Governor race, Janet T. Mills (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.2
Final polls said
D+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ascend Action | D+15.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | D+11.3 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+10.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+8.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+6.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 92% | 0.007 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2022-11-045
SurveyUSA2022-10-307
Ascend Action2022-10-282
Pan Atlantic Research2022-10-113
Emerson College2022-09-192
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Maine Governor race?
Janet T. Mills (D) won, by about 13.2 points (D+13.2).
When was the 2022 Maine Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.