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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2022 New Hampshire Governor race, Chris Sununu (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.5
Final polls said
R+16.2
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | InsiderAdvantage | R+15.3 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | R+16.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+15.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | R+17.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Suffolk University | R+17.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research | R+14.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Data for Progress | R+18.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | R+18.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | co/efficient | R+18.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+12.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Wick | R+10.6 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 12 | Emerson College | R+20.8 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 13 | Phillips Academy | R+22.2 | 6.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-11-050
Phillips Academy2022-11-057
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2022-11-044
Data for Progress2022-11-042
Wick2022-11-045
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 New Hampshire Governor race?
Chris Sununu (R) won, by about 15.5 points (R+15.5).
When was the 2022 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.