Toss-up · 2022 Governor

Nevada Governor

In the 2022 Nevada Governor race, Joe Lombardo (R) won by about 2 points.

Actual result

R+1.5

Final polls said

R+2.0

19 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.	R+1.2	0.3	✓
2	Research Co.	R+2.0	0.5	✓
3	Data for Progress	R+2.0	0.5	✓
4	KAConsulting	R+2.0	0.5	✓
5	SSRS	R+2.0	0.5	✓
6	Trafalgar Group	R+2.5	1.0	✓
7	Suffolk University	R+0.4	1.1	✓
8	Echelon Insights	EVEN	1.5	✗
9	YouGov	EVEN	1.5	✗
10	Emerson College	R+4.0	2.5	✓
11	The New York Times/Siena College	R+4.0	2.5	✓
12	BSP Research/Shaw & Company Research	D+1.0	2.5	✗
13	Cygnal	R+5.0	3.5	✓
14	Rasmussen Reports	R+5.0	3.5	✓
15	University of Nevada Department of Political Science	D+2.0	3.5	✗
16	InsiderAdvantage	R+5.2	3.7	✓
17	Noble Predictive Insights	D+4.0	5.5	✗
18	Phillips Academy	D+4.6	6.1	✗