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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Oklahoma Governor
In the 2022 Oklahoma Governor race, Kevin Stitt (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.7
Final polls said
R+3.2
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+13.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Viewpoint | R+15.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Emerson College | R+9.6 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Blueprint Polling | R+8.5 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ascend Action | R+3.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Amber Integrated | R+1.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Bruno Political Consulting | D+1.0 | 14.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | SoonerPoll.com | D+3.3 | 17.0 | ✗ |
| 9 | Tomahawk Strategies | D+3.4 | 17.1 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 87% | 0.018 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 81% | 0.035 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ascend Action2022-11-0511
Tomahawk Strategies2022-11-0217
WPA Intelligence2022-10-301
Blueprint Polling2022-10-295
Amber Integrated2022-10-2713
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Oklahoma Governor race?
Kevin Stitt (R) won, by about 13.7 points (R+13.7).
When was the 2022 Oklahoma Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.