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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Oklahoma Governor
In the 2022 Oklahoma Governor race, Kevin Stitt (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.7
Final polls said
R+3.2
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+13.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Viewpoint | R+15.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Emerson College | R+9.6 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Blueprint Polling | R+8.5 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ascend Action | R+3.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Amber Integrated | R+1.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Bruno Political Consulting | D+1.0 | 14.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | SoonerPoll.com | D+3.3 | 17.0 | ✗ |
| 9 | Tomahawk Strategies | D+3.4 | 17.1 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 95% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 87% | 0.018 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ascend Action2022-11-0511
Tomahawk Strategies2022-11-0217
WPA Intelligence2022-10-301
Blueprint Polling2022-10-295
Amber Integrated2022-10-2713
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Oklahoma Governor race?
Kevin Stitt (R) won, by about 13.7 points (R+13.7).
When was the 2022 Oklahoma Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.