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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Rhode Island Governor
In the 2022 Rhode Island Governor race, Daniel J. McKee (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.1
Final polls said
D+11.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleming & Associates | D+13.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+10.1 | 8.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Suffolk University2022-10-039
Fleming & Associates2022-10-016
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Rhode Island Governor race?
Daniel J. McKee (D) won, by about 19.1 points (D+19.1).
When was the 2022 Rhode Island Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.