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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Rhode Island Governor
In the 2022 Rhode Island Governor race, Daniel J. McKee (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.1
Final polls said
D+11.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleming & Associates | D+13.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+10.1 | 8.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Suffolk University2022-10-039
Fleming & Associates2022-10-016
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Rhode Island Governor race?
Daniel J. McKee (D) won, by about 19.1 points (D+19.1).
When was the 2022 Rhode Island Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.