← all past elections
Toss-up · 2022 House
Nevada House
In the 2022 Nevada House race, Steven A. Horsford (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+3.3
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+3.3 | 1.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Dem 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
| 2 | Race to the WH | Dem 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 83% | 0.029 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 81% | 0.036 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 77% | 0.053 | ✓ |
| 6 | CNalysis | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 8 | Elections Daily | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 9 | Inside Elections | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 10 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 11 | Split Ticket | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 12 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 66% | 0.116 | ✓ |
| 13 | Fox News | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 14 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Nevada House race?
Steven A. Horsford (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2022 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2022.