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Toss-up · 2022 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2022 Alaska Senate race, Lisa Murkowski (R) won with 53.7% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+7.4.
Actual result
D+7.4
Final polls said
D+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaska Survey Research | D+11.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research | EVEN | 7.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Alaska Survey Research2022-10-214
Alaska Survey Research2022-09-266
Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research2022-09-087
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Alaska Senate race?
Lisa Murkowski (R) won, with 53.7% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+7.4, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2022 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2022.