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Toss-up · 2022 Senate
Utah Senate
In the 2022 Utah Senate race, Mike Lee (R) won with 53.2% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+10.4.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+8.6
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+9.8 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Center Street PAC | D+12.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Noble Predictive Insights | D+15.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Dan Jones & Associates | D+5.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | OnMessage Inc. | D+17.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Hill Research Consultants | D+1.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Hill Research Consultants2022-10-299
Emerson College2022-10-271
Noble Predictive Insights2022-10-265
Hill Research Consultants2022-10-1016
Center Street PAC2022-10-082
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Utah Senate race?
Mike Lee (R) won, with 53.2% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+10.4, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2022 Utah Senate election held?
It was held in November 2022.