← past elections
Missouri Governor
Actual result
R+20.4
Final polls said
R+12.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+20.2
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+20.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research Co. | R+14.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Remington Research Group | R+11.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | 2024-11-02 | 450 | R+14.0 | 6 |
| Remington Research Group | 2024-10-28 | 721 | R+11.0 | 9 |