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Toss-up · 2024 Governor
New Hampshire Governor
In the 2024 New Hampshire Governor race, the Republican (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+9.4
Final polls said
D+0.1
7 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire | R+4.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | R+3.9 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Praecones Analytica | R+3.8 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Saint Anselm College | R+3.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | R+2.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | EVEN | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 7 | The Dartmouth Poll | D+17.5 | 26.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Dartmouth Poll2024-11-0227
University of New Hampshire2024-10-315
Saint Anselm College2024-10-286
Rasmussen Reports2024-10-269
Praecones Analytica2024-10-256
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 New Hampshire Governor race?
the Republican (R) won, by about 9.4 points (R+9.4).
When was the 2024 New Hampshire Governor election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.