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Pennsylvania Governor
Actual result
D+14.8
Final polls said
D+13.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+13.3
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+13.3 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University | D+13.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University | 2022-10-29 | 608 | D+13.0 | 2 |