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Toss-up · 2024 Governor
PR Governor
In the 2024 PR Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+4.1
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Nuevo D√≠a/The Research Office | D+8.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Consultor√≠a Acad√©mica e Investigaci√≥n Social LLC | D+8.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Beacon Research | D+7.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Pasquines | D+5.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | LIT Data | D+5.3 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | AtlasIntel | D+1.5 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | IZQ Strategies | R+2.0 | 12.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
LIT Data2024-11-025
AtlasIntel2024-11-029
El Nuevo Día/The Research Office2024-10-302
LIT Data2024-10-289
Beacon Research2024-10-273
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 PR Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 10.4 points (D+10.4).
When was the 2024 PR Governor election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.