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Toss-up · 2024 Governor
PR Governor
In the 2024 PR Governor race, the Democratic-Republican margin was D+10.4. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
D+10.4
Final polls said
D+4.1
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Nuevo D√≠a/The Research Office | D+8.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Consultor√≠a Acad√©mica e Investigaci√≥n Social LLC | D+8.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Beacon Research | D+7.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Pasquines | D+5.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | LIT Data | D+5.3 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | AtlasIntel | D+1.5 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | IZQ Strategies | R+2.0 | 12.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
LIT Data2024-11-025
AtlasIntel2024-11-029
El Nuevo Día/The Research Office2024-10-302
LIT Data2024-10-289
Beacon Research2024-10-273
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 PR Governor race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was D+10.4, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2024 PR Governor election held?
It was held in November 2024.