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Utah Governor
Actual result
R+24.4
Final polls said
R+28.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+33.3
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OH Predictive Insights | R+17.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+33.3 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+40.0 | 15.6 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | 2024-10-26 | 695 | R+17.0 | 7 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2024-10-17 | 813 | R+40.0 | 16 |