← past elections
Vermont Governor
Actual result
R+51.6
Final polls said
R+39.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+47.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+47.8 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire | R+39.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2024-10-31 | 1167 | R+39.0 | 13 |