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Washington Governor
Actual result
D+11.2
Final polls said
D+10.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
D+10.7
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+10.7 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research Co. | D+14.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | 2024-11-02 | 450 | D+14.0 | 3 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2024-10-16 | 571 | D+7.0 | 4 |