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Toss-up · 2024 House
PR House
In the 2024 PR House race, the Republican (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+1.9
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AtlasIntel | R+7.2 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pasquines | R+4.2 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | LIT Data | R+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research | R+3.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | El Nuevo D√≠a/The Research Office | D+1.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 6 | Consultor√≠a Acad√©mica e Investigaci√≥n Social LLC | D+6.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
AtlasIntel2024-11-022
El Nuevo Día/The Research Office2024-10-3011
Beacon Research2024-10-277
Pasquines2024-10-265
LIT Data2024-10-216
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 PR House race?
the Republican (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2024 PR House election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.