← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 President
Alaska President
In the 2024 Alaska President race, Donald J Trump (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.1
Final polls said
R+9.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaska Survey Research | R+10.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fox News | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 98% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 9 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Rep 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 11 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 12 | Split Ticket | Rep 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 13 | CNalysis | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 14 | Silver Bulletin | Rep 77% | 0.052 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Alaska Survey Research2024-10-213
Alaska Survey Research2024-10-215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Alaska President race?
Donald J Trump (R) won, by about 13.1 points (R+13.1).
When was the 2024 Alaska President election held?
It was held in November 2024.