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Toss-up · 2024 President
Maryland President
In the 2024 Maryland President race, Kamala D Harris (D) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
D+28.5
Final polls said
D+27.9
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Washington Post | D+28.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | D+29.6 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+27.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Morning Consult | D+32.4 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Blueprint Polling | D+22.5 | 6.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Split Ticket | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fox News | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Silver Bulletin | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Blueprint Polling2024-10-296
Morning Consult2024-10-274
YouGov2024-10-252
Emerson College2024-10-201
The Washington Post2024-10-191
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Maryland President race?
Kamala D Harris (D) won, by about 28.5 points (D+28.5).
When was the 2024 Maryland President election held?
It was held in November 2024.