← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 President
Maine President
In the 2024 Maine President race, Kamala D Harris (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.9
Final polls said
D+9.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire | D+11.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Race to the WH | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 7 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 92% | 0.007 | ✓ |
| 8 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | Inside Elections | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 10 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 11 | Fox News | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 12 | Elections Daily | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Dem 89% | 0.012 | ✓ |
| 14 | Silver Bulletin | Dem 87% | 0.016 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire2024-10-314
SurveyUSA2024-10-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Maine President race?
Kamala D Harris (D) won, by about 6.9 points (D+6.9).
When was the 2024 Maine President election held?
It was held in November 2024.