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Toss-up · 2024 President
Missouri President
In the 2024 Missouri President race, Donald J Trump (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+18.4
Final polls said
R+14.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Co. | R+15.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Remington Research Group | R+14.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Split Ticket | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fox News | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Silver Bulletin | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2024-11-023
Remington Research Group2024-10-284
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Missouri President race?
Donald J Trump (R) won, by about 18.4 points (R+18.4).
When was the 2024 Missouri President election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.