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Toss-up · 2024 President
Oregon President
In the 2024 Oregon President race, Kamala D Harris (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.3
Final polls said
D+12.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+12.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Fox News | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 12 | Silver Bulletin | Dem 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 14 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2024-10-162
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Oregon President race?
Kamala D Harris (D) won, by about 14.3 points (D+14.3).
When was the 2024 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2024.