Florida House
In the 2025 Florida House race, the Republican (R) won by about 14 points. VotePredictor predicted R+8.5 and called it right.
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | R+8.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | St. Pete Polls | R+4.1 | 9.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who won the 2025 Florida House race?
the Republican (R) won, by about 14.0 points (R+14.0).
Did VotePredictor call the 2025 Florida House race correctly?
VotePredictor's walk-forward model predicted R+8.5 and called the winner correctly. The model is trained only on earlier races, so this was an out-of-sample test.
When was the 2025 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2025.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.