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Tennessee House
Actual result
R+8.8
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+6.5
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+6.5 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | R+2.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 2025-11-23 | 600 | R+2.0 | 7 |