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Lean R · 2025 House

Tennessee House

In the 2025 Tennessee House race, the Republican (R) won by about 9 points. VotePredictor predicted R+6.5 and called it right.

Actual result
R+8.8
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
R+6.5
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1VotePredictor ElectionsR+6.52.4
2Emerson CollegeR+2.06.8

The polls behind it

1 poll · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Emerson College2025-11-237

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2025 Tennessee House race?

the Republican (R) won, by about 8.8 points (R+8.8).

Did VotePredictor call the 2025 Tennessee House race correctly?

VotePredictor's walk-forward model predicted R+6.5 and called the winner correctly. The model is trained only on earlier races, so this was an out-of-sample test.

When was the 2025 Tennessee House election held?

It was held in November 2025.

Which party matches you?

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