NH-2 House
Maggie Goodlander (D) is the clear favorite to win the 2026 NH-2 House race — about a 86% chance, winning by about 15 points in the projection. Updated daily from 2 polls.
How the odds moved
VotePredictor Elections' win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date — hover the chart to read any day. The dashed line is even odds.
Why this forecast
This forecast is poll-driven: 2 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts D+15.0 — a 86% Democratic win. With only a poll or two this early, the forecast stays cautious and leans partly on the seat's history.
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is winning the 2026 NH-2 House race?
VotePredictor's model favors Maggie Goodlander (D), with roughly a 86% chance of winning and a projected margin of D+15.0.
What do the polls say in the NH-2 House race?
There are 2 polls of this race. The most recent, from Saint Anselm College Survey Center (2026-08-18), showed D+15.0. VotePredictor's poll-weighted projection is D+15.0.
Who are the candidates in the 2026 NH-2 House race?
Maggie Goodlander is the Democratic candidate; Lily Tang Williams is the Republican.
When is the 2026 NH-2 House election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. VotePredictor refreshes this forecast every day until then.
How does VotePredictor forecast the NH-2 House race?
It is a poll-driven model. Recent polls are weighted by recency and adjusted for each pollster's historical house effect, then a machine-learning model (TabPFN) trained on U.S. races from 1998–2025 turns them into a projected margin and win probability.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.