Oklahoma Senate
There's no live forecast for the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race: every poll on file asks about Jim Priest, who lost the Democratic primary to N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, and nobody has polled the new matchup yet.
Nominee changed — Thomas won the runoff
Jim Priest lost the August 25, 2026 Democratic runoff to nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (61.2%), who faces Republican Kevin Hern for the seat Markwayne Mullin resigned. Every poll on file asks about Priest. The forecast returns as soon as a pollster asks about Thomas vs Hern. (Cutoff deliberately NOT set yet: the override needs the race in the frame, and the race is only in the frame while it has polls. Add the cutoff and retire this entry once a pollster asks about the new nominee.)
No forecast is published for this race. N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas is the Democratic nominee; the forecast returns once a pollster asks about the new matchup.
Jim Priest lost the primary on August 25, 2026. Because this seat has no forecast, it is held out of the Senate-control simulation rather than counted for either party. source
No forecast here — here's where the race is live
This seat is waiting on a poll of its new matchup. These 2026 races have a live forecast:
Latest news
- Democratic socialists notch another win in the Oklahoma Senate primary runoff
Nurse N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas has won the Democratic Senate primary runoff in Oklahoma, NBC News projects, securing another win for the party’s democratic socialist wing. Thomas, a 31-year-old member of the Chickasaw Nation, defeated attorney and minister Jim …
Freerepublic.com · August 26, 2026 - A Gay Black Progressive Won in Georgia. A Democratic Socialist Nurse Won in Oklahoma. That’s No Accident.
The latest round of elections in the South is giving Black voters something to celebrate: candidates who aren’t just winning but pushing the boundaries of what political representation looks like. In Georgia, former Gwinnett County School Board Chair Evert…
The Root · August 26, 2026 
Meet the first ‘McSenator’ – former McDonald’s franchise owner goes from golden arches to upper chamberPresident Trump-endorsed Oklahoma Rep. Kevin Hern handily won his primary Tuesday, putting him on track to be sworn in as the next Sooner State "McSenator" -- the first to have banked millions during a career running McDonald's franchises.
New York Post · July 4, 2026
Rep. Kevin Hern wins Oklahoma GOP nomination for U.S. Senate, governor's race heads to runoffThe primary had Republicans picking their preferred successor to outgoing Republican Gov. Kevin Stitt and a nominee for the Senate seat once held by Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin.
Biztoc.com · June 17, 2026- Rep. Kevin Hern wins GOP Senate primary in Oklahoma - NBC News
Rep. Kevin Hern wins GOP Senate primary in OklahomaNBC News Oklahoma U.S. Senate Primary 2026: Live Election ResultsThe New York Times Trump-backed 'McCongressman' wins Oklahoma Senate primary, vows push for stalled SAVE ActFox News Jim Priest advances to Dem…
Slashdot.org · June 17, 2026
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
These polls are of the former matchup against Jim Priest and are kept as a record only — they no longer describe this race.
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is running in the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?
N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D) is the Democratic nominee, against Kevin Hern (Republican). The polls on file predate the primary: they ask about Jim Priest, who lost it.
Why is there no forecast for the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?
The polls on file are of a matchup that no longer exists, so publishing a number from them would be misleading. The forecast returns as soon as a pollster surveys N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas against Kevin Hern.
When is the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.