Democratic
Jamie Davis
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all Senate races
Louisiana U.S. Senate election, 2026
Jamie Davis vs. Julia Letlow. Incumbent lost renomination.
VotePredictor forecast
Julia Letlow favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+9.8
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Julia Letlow
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates | 2026-09-19 | R+4.0 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2026-07-22 | R+4.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Likely R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Econ
Likely R
as of Oct 12, 2026
FPO
Likely R
as of Oct 13, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct 13, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Oct 7, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Louisiana we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
On immigration, here’s where Senate candidates Jamie Davis and Julia Letlow agree, disagree
Here is where Senate candidates Julia Letlow and Jamie Davis agree on immigration and disagree
The Advocate · October 12, 2026
How Jamie Davis went from farmer to U.S. Senate candidate: ‘You have to get out and see people’
Jamie Davis peered into the machinery between the wheels of a Peterbilt truck that hauls grain on his farm in northeast Louisiana.
The Advocate · October 5, 2026
How Jamie Davis went from farmer to U.S. Senate candidate: ‘You have to get out and see people’
Jamie Davis peered into the machinery between the wheels of a Peterbilt truck that hauls grain on his farm in northeast Louisiana.
The Advocate · October 5, 2026
How Julia Letlow, Jamie Davis are running for Senate in Louisiana — and how their styles differ
U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow and farmer Jamie Davis are taking sharply contrasting routes as they run for the same job – to be the next senator from Louisiana.
The Advocate · October 2, 2026
Louisiana Senate race between Jamie Davis, Julia Letlow is about to heat up. Here’s the latest.
After a sleepy summer, Louisiana’s U.S. Senate campaign appears likely to kick into high gear now that the election is less than 60 days away.
The Advocate · September 9, 2026
How tragedy, faith led Julia Letlow to run for Senate: ‘I needed those signs from the Lord’
It was Dec. 11, 2020, only six days after Luke Letlow had won an open seat to represent the 5th Congressional District that stretched from Monroe south to the Florida Parishes.
The Advocate · October 5, 2026
Can Jamie Davis raise enough to challenge Julia Letlow for Louisiana Senate? See the numbers.
Republican Julia Letlow has big advantages in the contest for U.S. Senate in Louisiana, but Democrat Jamie Davis is touting a haul of $1.6 million as evidence he can run a competitive race.
The Advocate · July 22, 2026