Democratic
Fredrick Love
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Fredrick Love vs. Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Arkansas governor election, 2026
Fredrick Love vs. Sarah Huckabee Sanders. Incumbent re-elected..
VotePredictor forecast (our model)
Sarah Huckabee Sanders favored
Safe R
99%
chance to win
R+22.7
predicted margin
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology → · Today's article: every poll and forecast →
Republican
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Colt Shelby · Libertarian
Polls
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain). VotePredictor adjusted (“Our adj.” on small screens) is not a poll: it is our correction of that poll, for its pollster's record in past elections and for registered-voter or all-adult samples. It is the number our forecast reads.
PollsterDateSampleMarginOur adj.VotePredictor adjusted
Other forecasts
VotePredictor (ours)
R 99%
a probability from our model
Cook
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Oct. 29, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 3, 2026
Fox
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 1, 2026
IE
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Oct. 29, 2026
NBC
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 3, 2026
RCP
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 1, 2026
Sabato
Safe R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 2, 2026
Silver
Solid R≈ R 99%
as of Nov. 3, 2026
The source we collect records each outlet's rating category, not a probability; some of these outlets run models with their own numbers on their sites. The ≈ figure is the standard conversion of the category (Toss-up 50%, Tilt 60%, Lean 75%, Likely 90%, Solid 99%), the one our scorecard grades them on, not a number they published. They remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Independent models
Win probabilities published by independent statistical models, shown with credit as their terms allow: Who Shows Up (whoshowsup.net), by Kurt Wirth. These are their numbers, not ratings converted by us, and not VotePredictor's. The better-known model forecasters (Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, Silver Bulletin, the Economist) don't permit republishing their probabilities, so they appear above by rating only.
Past results
Every Arkansas election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders Wins 2nd Term as Arkansas Governor
Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) secured a second term in office Tuesday, defeating Democrat Fredrick Love. The post Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders Wins 2nd Term as Arkansas Governor appeared first on Breitbart.
Breitbart News · November 4, 2026
Bill to remove work permit requirement for children under 16 goes to Sarah Huckabee Sanders’ desk
LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas – A proposed Arkansas law that would remove the requirement for children under 16 to prove their age to get a job will head to Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders’ desk for approval. House Bill 1410, or the Youth Hiring Act, would delete the po…
Raw Story · March 5, 2023
Midterms over, Democrats plunge into a wide-open 2028 presidential race
By Tim Reid WASHINGTON, Nov 5 (Reuters) - With the US midterms over, Democrats are turning to what could become one of their most crowded and unpredictable presidential primaries in decades, a 2028 contest likely to expose the party's divide over how to win b…
Yahoo Entertainment · November 5, 2026
Transcript: Trump Presidency on Life Support as Blue Wave Drowns MAGA
The following is a lightly edited transcript of the November 4 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.In a stunn…
The New Republic · November 4, 2026
Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins second term as Arkansas governor
Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee and former Trump White House press secretary, secures reelection as Arkansas governor.
Israelnationalnews.com · November 4, 2026
Conservative backlash after campaign ad shows lazy welfare recipient as White
A campaign video from Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders that portrays a welfare recipient as White has sparked a backlash from some conservatives.
CBS News · October 6, 2026