Democratic
Josh Green
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Hawaii governor election, 2026
Josh Green vs. Gary Cordery. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Josh Green favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+28.1
98%
chance to win
Fundamentals model · no poll: state lean, incumbency, the prior result and the national environment. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Gary Cordery
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Safe D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Solid D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Hawaii election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.