Democratic
Cindy Holscher
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Ty Masterson favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+4.9
85%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 6 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Ty Masterson
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-30 | R+5.0 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-09-24 | R+4.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-09-16 | R+7.0 |
| Global Strategy Group | 2026-09-16 | D+3.0 |
| co/efficient | 2026-09-10 | R+8.0 |
| Global Strategy Group | 2026-08-16 | D+1.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean R (flip)
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Lean R (flip)
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Lean R (flip)
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Tilt R (flip)
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Lean R (flip)
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Lean R (flip)
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Kansas election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Could this be the year Democrats close the 'governor gap' with Republicans?
When people talk about this year's midterms, they tend to focus on whether Democrats will end unified Republican control of Congress by winning the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives (or both). And that makes sense: Congress has the power to check Presid…
Yahoo Entertainment · Yesterday
“Demonic Stuff”: Kansas GOP Accuses Democrat of Being a Witch
Witch hunts are back en vogue with Kansas Republicans—literally.Ty Masterson, the Republican candidate in the Kansas gubernatorial race, accused his Democratic opponent Cindy Holscher of being an actual witch capable of “demonic” magic while speaking at the P…
The New Republic · October 14, 2026
Kansas Democrat Cindy Holscher Says She Isn't a Socialist, but Campaigns with One the Next Day
Kansas Democrat nominee for governor Cindy Holscher said at a recent debate, "I am no socialist," yet spent the following day campaigning with a candidate who calls himself a "Democratic Socialist taking on the Topeka establishment." The post Kansas Democrat …
Breitbart News · September 23, 2026
Holscher Just Ahead in Kansas Governor’s Race
A new Global Strategic Group poll in Kansas finds Cindy Holscher (D) leading Ty Masterson (R) in the governor’s race, 47% to 46%. Kansas Governor’s Race Cindy Holscher (D) 47% Ty Masterson (R) 46% Global Strategic Group poll
Politicalwire.com · August 29, 2026
"Focus Is on Affordability": Cindy Holscher, Kansas Dem Nominee for Gov, on Data Center Fight & More
Kansas state Senator Cindy Holscher won Tuesday’s primary race to become the Democratic nominee in the state’s gubernatorial race, facing Republican Ty Masterson in November. Holscher clinched the nomination over fellow state lawmaker Ethan Corson, who was ba…
Democracy Now! · August 7, 2026
Kansas Democrats Surge In Polls: GOP Attack Ads Are Deranged
Republicans put money into Kansas Senate and Gubernatorial races, and new GOP attack ads against Kansas Democrats are deranged. MAGA Sen. Roger Marshall and Gubernatorial Trumper candidate Ty Masterson created attack ads that reach a new low! I think even Don…
Crooksandliars.com · October 5, 2026
A few lines in GOP bill blew up a red state — and one of its architects is running for gov
Kansans may remember the rise and spectacular fall of Gov. Sam Brownback’s disastrous tax experiment, which was designed to eliminate the state income tax. Less well known to Kansans is the key role that current gubernatorial candidate Ty Masterson played in …
Raw Story · September 14, 2026
A brutal string of humiliations cracked this Republican's glass jaw
U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kansas, has taken it on the chin repeatedly over the past week.He wants another term in the Senate, but first he has to make it through an increasingly fraught election season.First, his campaign apparently shared an AI-generated g…
Raw Story · September 10, 2026