Democratic
Scott Peters
Incumbent representative for CA-50. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 50 election, 2026
Scott Peters vs. Steve Cohen on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Scott Peters favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+26.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+18.82026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Steve Cohen
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-50. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Scott PetersDEM · incumbent$2.2M raised
Spent $1.8MCash on hand $2.6MDebts $171k6% from donors under $200Self-funded $2k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- SHP VICTORY FUND$332k
- ARNOLD, JOHN$7k
- ARNOLD, LAURA$7k
- DOERR, ANN$7k
- DOERR, JOHN III$7k
Industries
- Not Reported$116k
- Legal & Professional Services$40k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$26k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$24k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$18k
States
- CA$195k
- DC$39k
- VA$38k
- TX$28k
- NY$20k
Steve CohenREP$4k raised
Spent $2kCash on hand $2k8% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-50; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 50th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
US judge temporarily blocks Trump admin's plan to deport detained Afghans
A federal judge in New York temporarily blocked President Donald Trump's administration plans to deport Afghans detained in the United States to Afghanistan or Pakistan on Tuesday, after advocates and dozens of members of Congress warned that their lives woul…
Business Standard · November 4, 2026
Rep. Scott Peters on Islamic Center of San Diego attack
NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with Democratic Rep. Scott Peters of California, who represents San Diego neighborhoods near the mosque where three people were killed yesterday.
NPR · May 19, 2026
San Diego congressman reacts to US strikes on Venezuela
Democratic Rep. Scott Peters, D-Calif., joined Midday Edition on Monday to discuss why he objects to recent U.S. military action in Venezuela, and what role he sees for Congress going forward.Guest: <ul><li>Rep. Scott Peters, D-Calif., 50th District</li></ul>
KPBS · January 6, 2026
San Diego congressional delegation to again attempt tour of ICE facility
Reps. Juan Vargas and Scott Peters, both D-San Diego, were refused entry on Oct. 20. On Oct. 27, they were joined by Sen. Alex Padilla, D- California, Rep. Sara Jacobs, D-San Diego, and Rep. Mike Levin, D-San Clemente, and were again turned away.
KPBS · November 24, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗