Democratic
Jahana Hayes
Incumbent representative for CT-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Jahana Hayes favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+9.8
92%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+7.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed republican candidates: Jonathan De Barros, Chris Shea.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Inspired by Seattle Program, Jayapal Bill Would Help US Families Buy Fruits and Veggies
As Americans face rising grocery prices under President Donald Trump and rally behind progressive policies and primary candidates, US Rep. Pramila Jayapal on Thursday introduced a bill that shows what kind of proposals could become reality with more Democrats…
Common Dreams · July 2, 2026
Dem Rep Who Claims To Want Border Security Regrets Voting For The Laken Riley Act
Democratic Connecticut Rep. Jahana Hayes said she regrets voting for a bipartisan bill to detain illegal migrants accused of committing criminal offenses.
The Daily Caller · April 11, 2025
'I’m still talking, please': CNN town hall gets heated after Republican cuts off Dem
A Democratic lawmaker’s brutal takedown of what she characterized as the unscrupulous actions Elon Musk is engaging in as head of the Department of Government Efficiency sparked a tense clash Thursday night when Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY) tried to squeeze in his…
Raw Story · April 11, 2025
Lawmakers share messages for President Trump at CNN town hall
Republican Reps. Mike Lawler of New York and Ryan Mackenzie of Pennsylvania, and Democrat Reps. Jahana Hayes of Connecticut and Derek Tran of California shared their messages to the American people and President Donald Trump at a CNN town hall moderated by Ja…
CNN · April 11, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗