Actual result
R+10.5
Final polls said
R+3.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+6.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+7.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+6.8 | 3.8 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2016-10-12 | 400 | R+7.0 | 4 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2016-09-13 | 400 | D+1.0 | 12 |