Actual result
R+17.9
Final polls said
R+7.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+8.1
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | R+21.3 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+8.1 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+7.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 2010-10-24 | 801 | R+7.0 | 11 |
| ccAdvertising | 2010-09-30 | 442 | R+21.3 | 3 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 2010-09-26 | 559 | R+7.0 | 11 |