Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Emmer favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+14.0
98%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+20.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tom Emmer
Incumbent representative for MN-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Doug Chapin · DFL
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MN-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MN-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Minnesota's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
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Raw Story · October 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗