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Toss-up · 2012 House

Minnesota House

In the 2012 Minnesota House race, Michele Bachmann (R) won by about 1 point.

Actual result
R+1.2
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1GQRR+2.00.8✓
2Rasmussen ReportsR+6.04.8✓
3SurveyUSAR+9.07.8✓

The polls behind it

3 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Rasmussen Reports2012-10-165
SurveyUSA2012-10-108
GQR2012-10-031

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2012 Minnesota House race?

Michele Bachmann (R) won, by about 1.2 points (R+1.2).

When was the 2012 Minnesota House election held?

It was held in November 2012.

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