Democratic
Steven Horsford
Incumbent representative for NV-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Steven Horsford favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+8.0
91%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+2.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Cody Whipple
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Russell Best · Independent American
- William Johnson · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NV-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NV-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Nevada's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Opinion: The Climate Crisis Is Unequal; The Clean Energy Future Cannot Be
For Black communities, energy has never been just a bill in the mail every month. It is a question of who breathes clean air. Who can afford to stay cool in a heat wave. Who gets to share in the technologies already sitting in front of us. Take Nevada. Ex…
The Root · October 7, 2026
Fairshake Backs 32 House Candidates As Crypto Election Spending Ramps Up
TL;DR Fairshake has named 32 U.S. House candidates it plans to support ahead of the November midterms. Six races are receiving $1 million in outside spending each, for an initial disclosed commitment of $6 million. The slate is bipartisan, with 19 Republicans…
newsBTC · October 6, 2026
Washington Takes Fresh Aim At Crypto Taxes With New IRS Review Bill
Kraken sent 56 million tax forms to the Internal Revenue Service last year. Nearly a third covered transactions worth less than a dollar. More than 75% were for trades under $50. Those numbers, cited by the crypto exchange last month, have added weight to a g…
newsBTC · May 21, 2026
Rep. Steven Horsford pitches PARITY Act as 'durable floor' for crypto tax at Consensus Miami
The Nevada Democrat told Professor Yesha Yadav that incremental, bipartisan reform is the path forward as Senate negotiations on the CLARITY Act stall.
CoinDesk · May 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗