Democratic
Chris Gallant
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Nick LaLota favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+3.7
70%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+8.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nick LaLota
Incumbent representative for NY-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
GOP rushes to save election security agency gutted by Trump: report
Republicans on Capitol Hill are moving to restore funding and staffing to the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, or CISA, after voting to defund it to appease President Donald Trump. The reversal follows an incident involving an unreleased Open…
Raw Story · July 30, 2026
Republicans scramble to rescue security agency after gutting it to appease Trump: report
Republicans on Capitol Hill are scrambling to save an embattled cybersecurity agency after they voted to gut it to appease President Donald Trump, according to a new report. Politico reported on Wednesday that Republicans have changed their tune on the Cybers…
Raw Story · July 29, 2026
Undersecretary Martin Roger: US Congress support has helped strengthen Estonia's security
On 24 July, Martin Roger, Undersecretary for Political Affairs at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, met with a visiting delegation from the United States Congress. The delegation included members of the House of Representatives working on defence issues: Ken C…
Globalsecurity.org · July 24, 2026
How to Get a Labor Rights Bill Through a GOP House
In Oscar Wilde’s 1895 comedy The Importance of Being Earnest, the epigram-spouting Lady Bracknell is told by Jack Worthing, her daughter’s suitor, that he’s lost both his parents. To this, the lady replies imperiously: “To lose one parent, Mr. Worthing, may b…
The New Republic · June 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗