Nevada District 3 election, 2026

Susie Lee vs. Martin O'Donnell.

VotePredictor forecast

Susie Lee favored

Lean D · predicted margin D+5.7

79%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

D+1.0

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Susie Lee

Incumbent representative for NV-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Republican

Martin O'Donnell

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

David Anderson · Independent
Dean Johnson · Independent
Jon Kamerath · Independent American

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NV-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NV-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Nevada's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2022Susie Lee(D)D+4.0

2018Susie Lee(D)D+9.1

2016Jacky Rosen(D)D+1.3

2012Joseph J. Heck(R)R+7.5

2010Joseph J. Heck(R)R+0.7

2008Dina Titus(D)D+5.1

2006Jon C. Porter(R)R+1.9

2004Jon C. Porter(R)R+14.1

2002Jon C. Porter(R)R+18.8

Candidate news

'No tax on tips' takes center stage in a competitive Nevada House race

In Nevada's most competitive congressional district, Democratic Rep. Susie Lee is fending off a challenge from Republican candidate Marty O'Donnell, who has focused his campaign on the popular “no tax on tips” policy

WSB Radio · Yesterday

Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump

House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…

The New Republic · September 16, 2026

Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel

On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…

The New Republic · September 3, 2026

Democrat Susie Lee Votes for Trading Ban After Casino Stock Sale Tied to Ex-Husband

Rep. Susie Lee (D-NV) voted Wednesday for legislation barring members of Congress from trading individual stocks, days after renewed scrutiny of her family's sale of casino shares weeks before the stock dropped sharply. The post Democrat Susie Lee Votes for T…

Breitbart News · July 25, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NV-2 · NV-4