Democratic
John Mannion
Incumbent representative for NY-22. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
John Mannion favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+11.6
95%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+8.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Kailee Buller
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-22. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-22; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
'Honestly, it shook me': Stalked poll worker unnerved by ICE confrontation
A poll worker in Syracuse, New York said she was left unsettled after a pair of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents showed up at her polling place to tell her to delete Instagram content calling for the indictment of the agent who shot Renee Good in…
Raw Story · June 25, 2026
'Feels Very 1984': ICE Agents Push Poll Worker to Delete Post Calling for Charges Against Renee Good Killer
A poll worker in Syracuse, New York said she was left unsettled after a pair of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents showed up at her polling place to tell her to delete Instagram content calling for the indictment of the agent who shot Renee Good in…
Common Dreams · June 25, 2026
ICE agents stalk woman into polling place over Instagram post: report
Two U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents stalked a New York woman at a polling place over a social media post identifying Jonathan Ross as the killer of Minnesota mother Renee Good.The federal immigration agents walked into an active polling site T…
Raw Story · June 25, 2026
ICE Is A Paramilitary Force, And Those Don’t End Well
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article. As the operations of Immigration and Customs Enforcement have intensified over the past year, politicians and journalists alike have begun referring…
Slashdot.org · February 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗