Democratic
Aaron Gies
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Nick Langworthy favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.2
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+21.02026 national environment
D+6.5District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nick Langworthy
Incumbent representative for NY-23. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-23. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-23; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 23rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Langworthy prioritizing newborn health in U.S. with Surge to Save Newborns Act
A new bill has been introduced in Washington, D.C. by Western New York Congressman Nick Langworthy (R, NY-23) that will expand criticalaccess for newborn screenings across all 50 states. Read more from WBEN: | WBEN
Audacy.com · September 25, 2026
TPA Leads Coalition Urging Congress to Pass the Recycled Materials Attribution Act
WASHINGTON, July 14, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Yesterday, the Taxpayers Protection Alliance (TPA) joined 11 other organizations in urging lawmakers to support H.R. 7502, the Recycled Materials Attribution Act (RMAA), as introduced by Rep. Nick Langworthy (R-N.Y.) …
PRNewswire · July 14, 2026
Republicans Prove Irony Is Dead With Vote Condemning Fascism
American politics has come a long way since World War II.More than 250,000 Americans lost their lives fighting fascism in the European theater between 1942 and 1945, but decades later, that fervor to reject the destructive ideology seems to have died amongst …
The New Republic · November 18, 2025
Ex-NYS GOP chair and Trump ally backs Cuomo for mayor to stop ‘communist’ Zohran Mamdani
Upstate Rep. Nick Langworthy, the former New York State Republican Party chairman, endorsed Andrew Cuomo instead of GOP candidate Curtis Sliwa for mayor to stop "communist" Zohran Mamdani.
New York Post · October 30, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗