Democratic
Alissa Ellman
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Claudia Tenney favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+21.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+22.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Claudia Tenney
Incumbent representative for NY-24. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Ken Estes · Independent
- Todd Sloan · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-24. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
MAGA lawmaker's bizarre warning about New York parade mystifies critics: "Girl, what?"
A MAGA lawmaker's rambling warning about the Knicks celebrations confused critics online.Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-NY) said on Fox Business, "I'm worried" after seeing footage of the New York Knicks celebrations on Saturday. Fox Business played a video on repeat…
Raw Story · June 17, 2026
GOP Congresswoman Is ‘Worried’ That Knicks Parade Will Feature ‘Anti-Semitism’ Because Jalen Brunson’s Wife Is Jewish
Rep. Claudia Tenney said she is concerned that the New York Knicks' victory parade on Thursday may be marred by anti-Semitism because Jalen Brunson's wife is Jewish. The post GOP Congresswoman Is ‘Worried’ That Knicks Parade Will Feature ‘Anti-Semitism’ Becau…
Mediaite · June 17, 2026
GOP Accuses Jayapal of 'Treason' Over Efforts to End US Oil Blockade on Cuba
Two days after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio asserted that "there's no oil blockade on Cuba," appearing to deny that President Donald Trump issued an executive order threatening countries with tariffs if they provide energy to the island, Republican membe…
Common Dreams · May 7, 2026
REP CLAUDIA TENNEY: Why is New York punishing nuns who care for the dying?
Dominican Sisters of Hawthorne face fines and license loss under New York gender identity law that conflicts with their Catholic faith and hospice mission.
Fox News · April 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗