Democratic
Alissa Ellman
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Claudia Tenney favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+21.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+22.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Claudia Tenney
Incumbent representative for NY-24. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-24. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 24th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
House Intelligence Chairman Crawford and Rep. Tenney Host Roundtable in New York on CCP Counterintelligence Threats
Today, House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford (AR-01) and Rep. Claudia Tenney (NY-24) hosted a roundtable discussion at Hancock Air National Guard Base in Syracuse, New York, with federal, state, and private-sector partners on…
Globalsecurity.org · September 18, 2026
GOP lawmaker urges action over Europe's Israel boycott
Republican representative Claudia Tenney urged the Treasury Department on Wednesday to review whether European measures targeting Israel qualify as an international boycott under US tax law, and to ad...
Biztoc.com · September 9, 2026
MAGA lawmaker's bizarre warning about New York parade mystifies critics: "Girl, what?"
A MAGA lawmaker's rambling warning about the Knicks celebrations confused critics online.Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-NY) said on Fox Business, "I'm worried" after seeing footage of the New York Knicks celebrations on Saturday. Fox Business played a video on repeat…
Raw Story · June 17, 2026
GOP Congresswoman Is ‘Worried’ That Knicks Parade Will Feature ‘Anti-Semitism’ Because Jalen Brunson’s Wife Is Jewish
Rep. Claudia Tenney said she is concerned that the New York Knicks' victory parade on Thursday may be marred by anti-Semitism because Jalen Brunson's wife is Jewish. The post GOP Congresswoman Is ‘Worried’ That Knicks Parade Will Feature ‘Anti-Semitism’ Becau…
Mediaite · June 17, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗