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Toss-up · 2022 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2022 Pennsylvania House race, Chris Deluzio (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
D+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | D+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fox News | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | CNalysis | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 4 | Race to the WH | Dem 58% | 0.176 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 54% | 0.212 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 52% | 0.228 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 8 | Inside Elections | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 9 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 64% | 0.410 | ✗ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 66% | 0.436 | ✗ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 12 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 14 | Split Ticket | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
brilliant corners Research & Strategies2022-09-191
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Pennsylvania House race?
Chris Deluzio (D) won, by about 6.8 points (D+6.8).
When was the 2022 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2022.