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Toss-up · 2022 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2022 Pennsylvania House race, Chris Deluzio (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
D+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | D+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fox News | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 74% | 0.068 | ✓ |
| 3 | CNalysis | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 5 | Race to the WH | Dem 58% | 0.176 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 54% | 0.212 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 8 | Inside Elections | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 9 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 64% | 0.410 | ✗ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 66% | 0.436 | ✗ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 12 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 14 | Split Ticket | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
brilliant corners Research & Strategies2022-09-191
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Pennsylvania House race?
Chris Deluzio (D) won, by about 6.8 points (D+6.8).
When was the 2022 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.