Democratic
Suhas Subramanyam
Incumbent representative for VA-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Virginia District 10 election, 2026
Suhas Subramanyam vs. Dave Beckwith. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Suhas Subramanyam favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+12.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+8.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Dave Beckwith
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Ahsen Malik · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-10. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Suhas SubramanyamDEM · incumbent$1.7M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $746k7% from donors under $200Self-funded $2k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$273k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$96k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$61k
- Technology & Communications$40k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$34k
States
- VA$669k
- TX$68k
- MD$54k
- NY$47k
- CA$42k
Dave BeckwithREP$256k raised
Spent $233kCash on hand $32kDebts $80k10% from donors under $200Self-funded $80k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$58k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$11k
- Technology & Communications$3k
- Not Reported$2k
- Defense & Aerospace$1k
States
- VA$110k
- MD$4k
- UT$3k
- FL$2k
- DE$1k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Virginia's 10th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Suhas Subramanyam re-elected as US Congressman from Virginia
Suhas Subramanyam, who served as an advisor to President Barack Obama, has been re-elected as a member of the US House of Representatives. Subramanyam, 40, won from Virginia's 10th congressional district, polling over 61.5 per cent of the vote against Republi…
Business Standard · November 4, 2026
US midterms: Indian-origin Suhas Subramanyam wins re-election to US House from Virginia
Indian-origin Democrat Suhas Subramanyam has won re-election to the US House of Representatives from Virginia's 10th Congressional District in the 2026
The Times of India · November 4, 2026
Congressman Suhas Subramanyam meets voters in Manassas, urges Indian-Americans to participate in US midterms
US Congressman Suhas Subramanyam engaged with voters in Virginia, urging them to participate in the upcoming midterm elections. He observed a significant voter turnout and suggested possible Republican shifts towards Democratic candidates. Subramanyam stresse…
The Times of India · November 3, 2026
4 investigations Democrats could launch if they win control of Congress
Democrats have signalled a willingness to launch probes into both Donald Trump and Pete Hegseth's handling of the Iran war [Getty Images] Democrats in the US Congress are already planning how they would use their power if they win a majority in the House or…
BBC News · October 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗