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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2002 Arizona Governor race, Janet Napolitano (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+1.0
Final polls said
D+6.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | D+3.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+3.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | Analytical Group | D+5.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | D+8.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2002-10-312
SurveyUSA2002-10-301
Analytical Group2002-10-264
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)2002-10-259
SurveyUSA2002-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Arizona Governor race?
Janet Napolitano (D) won, by about 1.0 points (D+1.0).
When was the 2002 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.